Coming Soon:

The following books by Robert Paul Wolff are available on Amazon.com as e-books: KANT'S THEORY OF MENTAL ACTIVITY, THE AUTONOMY OF REASON, UNDERSTANDING MARX, UNDERSTANDING RAWLS, THE POVERTY OF LIBERALISM, A LIFE IN THE ACADEMY, MONEYBAGS MUST BE SO LUCKY, AN INTRODUCTION TO THE USE OF FORMAL METHODS IN POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY.
Now Available: Volumes I, II, III, and IV of the Collected Published and Unpublished Papers.

NOW AVAILABLE ON YOUTUBE: LECTURES ON KANT'S CRITIQUE OF PURE REASON. To view the lectures, go to YouTube and search for "Robert Paul Wolff Kant." There they will be.

To contact me about organizing, email me at rpwolff750@gmail.com




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Friday, March 18, 2016

DELEGATE UPDATE

I have now updated my spreadsheet.  At this point, despite the loss of Ohio and the underperformance in Texas, but because of caucus state delegates, which were not part of my original estimate, Trump is 59 delegates ahead of my estimate, thus putting him, I believe, on a path to more than 1237 on the first ballot.

I genuinely believe that  Trump is a proto-fascist , extremely dangerous, but fortunately very vulnerable to the right sorts of attacks.  No one will listen to the likes of me, of course, but I think I could be very useful to the Clinton campaign if they would ask.  It goes without saying that my dismay at Clinton is as nothing compared to my fear of Trump.

Here is the updated spreadsheet.

State Delegates Likely Trump Actual Trump Trump Vote % Cumulative Difference
New Hampshire 20 7 11 35         plus 4
South Carolina 50 36 50 32.5         plus 18
Alabama 47 32 36 43         plus 22
Arkansas 37 14 16 33         plus 24
Georgia 76 40 40 39         plus 24
Massachusetts 39 14 22 49         plus 32
Okalahoma 40 20 13 28         plus 25
Tennessee 55 28 33 34         plus 30
Texas 152 86 48 27         minus 8
Vermont 16 6 8 35         minus 6
Virginia 46 17 17 33         minus 6
Louisiana 44 16 18         minus4 
Idaho 29 10 12 28         minus2 
Mississippi 37 14 24 47         plus 9
Michigan 56 21 25 37         plus 13
Puerto Rico 20 7 0         plus 6
Ohio 63 63 0         minus 57
Florida 99 99 99         minus 57
Illinois 66 25 51         minus 31
Missouri 49 34 25         minus 40
North Carolina 72 25 29         minus 36
Arizona 58 58
Wisconsin 42 30
New York 92 52
Connecticut 25 14
Delaware 16 16
Maryland 38 29
Pennsylvania 68 14
Rhode Island 16 6
Indiana 54 45
West Virginia 31 18
Oregon 25 9
California 169 145
Montana 24 24
New Jersey 48 48
New Mexico 21 8
South Dakota 26 26
Nebraska 33 33
Washington 41 14
1940 1203
Caucus States
Iowa 30 7
Nevada 30 14
Alaska 25 11
Colorado 34
Minnesota 35 8
North Dakota 25
Wyoming 26
Kansas 40 9
Kentucky 43 17
Maine 23 9
Hawaii 16 11
District of Columbia 19
Northern Mariana Islands 6 9
Virgin Islands 6
Utah 40
398
Territorial Convention
Guam 6
American Samoa 6
12

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