Coming Soon:

The following books by Robert Paul Wolff are available on Amazon.com as e-books: KANT'S THEORY OF MENTAL ACTIVITY, THE AUTONOMY OF REASON, UNDERSTANDING MARX, UNDERSTANDING RAWLS, THE POVERTY OF LIBERALISM, A LIFE IN THE ACADEMY, MONEYBAGS MUST BE SO LUCKY, AN INTRODUCTION TO THE USE OF FORMAL METHODS IN POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY.
Now Available: Volumes I, II, III, and IV of the Collected Published and Unpublished Papers.

NOW AVAILABLE ON YOUTUBE: LECTURES ON KANT'S CRITIQUE OF PURE REASON
LECTURE ONE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d__In2PQS60
LECTURE TWO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Al7O2puvdDA

ALSO AVAILABLE ON YOUTUBE: LECTURES ONE THROUGH TEN ON IDEOLOGICAL CRITIQUE



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Sunday, July 3, 2016

TIME-SAVING RECOMMENDATION

Here is a simple, foolproof way of figuring out how the election will go.

1.          Necessary truth:  100% of those who vote will be either men or women.

2.         Highly probable prediction:  At least 50%, and probably a bit more than 50%, of those who vote will be women.  [Projection from recent elections]

3.         Strong Polling Indication:  More men will vote for Trump than for Clinton.  More women will vote for Clinton than for Trump.  The two “gender gaps.”

4.         Current Polling Results:  Trump’s gender gap advantage with men is smaller than Clinton’s gender gap advantage with women.

Inference:   If point 4 holds up, Clinton will win the popular vote [simple arithmetic.] 

If Clinton wins the popular vote, she will almost certainly win the Electoral Vote.


Recommendation:  Periodically check the gender gap polling.   Instead of spending the time surfing the political commentary on the Web, read the Critique.

2 comments:

Tom Cathcart said...

Re #1: You clearly are ignoring the 50-some gender designations recognized by Facebook.

Welcome back!

enzo rossi said...

Many of my colleagues of a more post-modernist orientation would take issue with that necessary truth, but yes, good heuristic.