The comparison with hitting performance seems off somehow. First of all, if you were to ask me what the chances were that a batter would strike out, my first reaction would be to reply "Who's pitching?" I am reminded of tourist attractions like white water rafting which are advertised as very exciting and risky but on which no one has ever been lost. How can it be risky if no one has ever died?
I am really ignorant of statistical theory so I am looking for guidance here.