As Jerry Fresia and others have noted, I am fatally prone to optimism -- a Tigger in a world designed for Eeyores. One of the several number-crunching political sites, The Upshot, now has Clinton at a 77% probability of winning in November, which to my ever-hopeful heart sounds pretty good. However, they helpfully point out that this is roughly the probability that an NBA professional basketball player will make a free throw. Do I really want my future and that of the entire world to depend on whether LeBron James hits a free throw? Actually, I just checked, and James' lifetime FTA is .744, so Hillary Clinton's chance of being elected is better than LeBron James' probability of making a free throw. There, that sounds better.
Sigh. It is going to be a long Fall, Kant or no Kant.