When I blog about Marx or Kant or Game Theory or the theory of democracy, I do so with a certain confidence that I have some idea what I am talking about. Readers may disagree with me -- Lord knows they always do! -- but I have at least a prima facie claim to knowledge on those topics. By contrast, when I blog about the current political crisis, I am painfully conscious much of the time of simply echoing what I have read online or heard during my endless surfing of the TV news stations. Nevertheless, I think it is essential to speak about what we are confronting. "Attention must be paid," as Willy Loman's wife insists. Herewith, therefore, my view, offered with full awareness of its lack of authority.
The current administration, despite its extraordinary chaotic incompetence, is steadily doing genuinely terrible things that either seek to threaten the lives of countless millions or actually succeed in doing so. Here is just one example among scores. Trump's action will deprive millions of women of essential health services, particularly in Africa, leading to countless preventable deaths and illnesses. That is sheer evil. There is no other word for it.
The men and women Trump has appointed to his cabinet will do immeasurable harm to the environment, to women's reproductive health, to education, to worker's rights, and to voting rights. They will greatly increase the number of men and women incarcerated for long periods for non-violent crimes. All of this is the deliberate intention of the entire Republican Party, not merely of the Trump Administration.
I do not for a moment believe that Congressional Republicans will act to remove Trump from office, no matter how manifestly egregious his actions, principally because they fear opposition at the polls from Trump supporters. I predict that Trump will survive all scandals, all revelations, and serve out his term unless he actually comes utterly unglued and must be led off in a straight jacket.
From all of which I draw the conclusion that the only way to limit the harm being done to millions of Americans is to take back the House of Representatives in 2016 and the White House in 2020. This will by no means end the harm being inflicted by this Administration -- see the example linked to above, which is an example of presidential action alone. But it will limit the damage.
How to accomplish this overthrow of the Republican majority in the House? My guess -- not grounded in genuinely deep political knowledge or experience -- is that calls for impeachment will be ineffective, but that a ceaseless hammering on the Republican threats to health care can be a winning strategy. Repeatedly I have heard anecdotal reports from reporters and politicians that outside the Beltway, health care remains a red hot issue while impeachment only agitates the reliable Democratic voters.
Meanwhile, I freely admit that I am mesmerized by the chaos and self-inflicted wounds of this White House. But I shall try not to be seduced from attending to the issue that can win back the House.