Inasmuch as I cannot think of anything else, I will speculate on the possible outcomes of the Kavanaugh affair. Let us be clear: at this point all the matters in the short run is three votes in the Senate: Manchin, Collins, Murkowsky [I assume Flake will vote yes in the end, unless something turns up that derails the entire matter.]
With that said, what are the short term and long term possibilities?
1. Mark Judge caves to the FBI and say that the event described by Ford occurred pretty much as she described it. If Judge does that, I predict that in his version of the event he is trying successfully to stop Kavanaugh, not abetting him. If Judge rats Kavanaugh out, I would expect Kavanaugh to get wind of the news and withdraw his name from nomination before any thing comes out, angrily accusing the world of destroying his life, his family, and his reputation. Behind the scenes he cuts a deal with McConnell that he will withdraw and save the Republicans the political carnage of a floor vote on condition that he keep his seat on the DC Circuit. I think this is a possibility, on which I can put no estimate of likelihood.
2. The FBI turns up all manner of slimy stuff, but nothing definitive. Then Murkowsky probably votes no, but Collins? She is between a rock and a hard place [assuming, as I do, that she has no actual conscience whatsoever.] I do not think she can get re-elected in 2020 if she votes yes, but she will be primaried if she votes no. Her best chance may be to vote no and appeal to Maine Democrats to vote for her in the primary. She will make a cold eyed decision. If she votes no, so will Manchin. If she votes yes, Manchin will be free to vote yes, because the nomination will go through regardless of how he votes. Once again, I cannot estimate the probabilities.
3. The nomination goes through. Kavanaugh immediately takes his seat on the High Court, making his SCOTUS colleagues right and left intensely uncomfortable behind their bland exteriors. At this point, I predict, we will see something truly unprecedented. After Kavanaugh is seated, a series of new allegations will surface. Large numbers of people who have known Kavanaugh, both men and women, will tell credible stories about his appalling behavior not just during his prep school and early college days but later in his life as well. I am absolutely sure such behavior exists and will come out. The news media will not “move on.” Remember, Kavanaugh will join the court the day after the vote, which means four weeks before the election. He will be the poster child for Democratic candidates campaigning for everything from Governor and Senator to City Council and Dog Catcher. This will not die away. Impeaching and removing a Supreme Court Justice is a non-starter. Can Kavanaugh stand the heat? I do not know. Perhaps he and Thomas will form a small support group for Supreme Court sexual abusers.
As the old Chinese curse has it, may you live in interesting times.