Coming Soon:

The following books by Robert Paul Wolff are available on Amazon.com as e-books: KANT'S THEORY OF MENTAL ACTIVITY, THE AUTONOMY OF REASON, UNDERSTANDING MARX, UNDERSTANDING RAWLS, THE POVERTY OF LIBERALISM, A LIFE IN THE ACADEMY, MONEYBAGS MUST BE SO LUCKY, AN INTRODUCTION TO THE USE OF FORMAL METHODS IN POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY.
Now Available: Volumes I, II, III, and IV of the Collected Published and Unpublished Papers.

NOW AVAILABLE ON YOUTUBE: LECTURES ON KANT'S CRITIQUE OF PURE REASON. To view the lectures, go to YouTube and search for "Robert Paul Wolff Kant." There they will be.

To contact me about organizing, email me at rpwolff750@gmail.com




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Monday, December 21, 2015

IMPROVEMENTS

My son, Patrick, who is way better at this sort of thing than I am, took my table and put it into an Excel spreadsheet, cleaning things up along the way.  Here is the result, which is clearer and more detailed than what  I posted.  The numbers are still somewhat screwed up, because of errors I made along the way, but I think the basic message remains:  Given the assumptions with which I began, Trump could win the nomination by the end of the primary/caucus process.

StateTotalLikely Trump% of Total
New Hampshire20735.0%
South Carolina453680.0%
Alabama472553.2%
Arkansas371848.6%
Georgia763951.3%
Massachusetts391538.5%
Okalahoma402152.5%
Tennessee552850.9%
Texas1557246.5%
Vermont16850.0%
Virginia461634.8%
Louisiana432148.8%
Idaho321650.0%
Mississippi371643.2%
Michigan562137.5%
Puero Rico201050.0%
Ohio6363100.0%
Florida9999100.0%
Illinois664060.6%
Missouri523975.0%
North Carolina692333.3%
Arizona5858100.0%
Wisconsin423685.7%
New York954749.5%
Connecticut251768.0%
Delaware1616100.0%
Maryland382976.3%
Pennsylvania541833.3%
Rhode Island16743.8%
Indiana544888.9%
West Virginia311858.1%
Kentucky461634.8%
Oregon25936.0%
California16913076.9%
New Jersey5151100.0%
New Mexico211047.6%
South Dakota2626100.0%
District of Columbia191052.6%
1899117962.1%

1 comment:

Michael Llenos said...

Ever since Trump began to run, I've noticed a lot of people skeptical about Trump winning the nomination--especially, his haters. As a believer in God, I think God likes to humble people who seem totally positive, adamant in fact, that something is going to happen their way. E.g. the 1918 End of all Wars, the Titanic not sinking, the end of the world in 2012, and the 2015 Blood Moons bringing about, again, the end of the world, etc..

My advice to monotheists, who want to see a candidate for office to fail, is to use 'reversed psychology' in their thoughts, words and actions. They should shout out: 'Trump is going to win the nomination no matter what!' Then maybe they'll get their desire and Trump will not win the nomination. But maybe it's too late?