David asks, " Professor Wolff, could you say more about why you're deeply fearful of a Trump-Clinton match up?" Needless to say, I have given this a great deal of thought. Let me try to explain.
First of all some facts garnered from the primary season thus far:
1. Republican turnout in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina has been extremely high, a bad sign.
2. Trump is doing well across the Republican electorate, among those self-identified as Very Conservative, Conservative, Moderate, and Evangelical. He is not a candidate of the far right, as Cruz is.
3. Trump is very deft at shifting ground in response to evidence of what works and does not. He is an extremely skillful campaigner.
4. Trump appears to be bringing out large numbers of Republican voters.
5. Clinton is an appalling campaigner. She is utterly inauthentic, fails to inspire young people [so-called Millennials], has no discernible message, seems clueless about the negative effect of her handling of the Goldman Sachs speech issue.
All of these are bad signs for the general election.
I am fearful that Clinton will be unusually vulnerable to the sorts of shrewd, sharp, unprincipled personal attacks in which Trump specializes. I am fearful that she will fail to mobilize the Obama coalition that elected him twice. She ought to crush the women's vote, the Black vote, the Latino vote, but thought she will carry them, she very well may not inspire them, and in today's American politics, Turn out is everything.
I believe the Republican base hates Clinton. She will not, I fear, draw many crossover Republicans appalled by Trump.
Running as Clinton is for a third consecutive Democratic term, the odds are against her unless she succeeds in motivating large numbers of non-voters to come out and vote.
Those are some of the reasons why I am fearful. I could go on!