Whence, Jordan asks, my new found confidence that Clinton will defeat Trump? Three things encourage me in that hope: First, the Clinton campaign is apparently seriously engaged in opposition research on Trump, preparing a full-spectrum attack; Second, new polling shows her beating him by a very wide margin [not as wide as does Bernie, but we must be thankful for crumbs]; Third, Trump's carefully planned and designedly presidential address to AIPAC [The American Israel Political Action Committee, for my overseas readers] was tone deaf, suggesting that when the Great Oz consults his inner circle of advisers [himself], he gets lousy advice.
Trump remains a narcissistic, deeply insecure man frozen at an infantile stage of psychosexual development [I would love to have some insight into his relationship to his father in his first five years!] -- witness his obsessive defense of the size and beauty of his hands. He is smart, more skillful at playing the media than Clinton, lord knows, and without convictions of any sort, a useful trait in a businessman or a politician, but he is vulnerable and not entirely in control of his emotions.
All in all, I think he will probably do disastrously in a general campaign, and also, by the way, in a debate with Clinton. Remember, she does not have to win over any of his faithful supporters. She need only mobilize the demographic segments of the population that are already inclined to support her -- women, African-Americans, Latinos, young college educated Millennials, and the like.
Well, if you were here in my study, you would be able to hear me whistle to keep up my spirits as I tiptoe nervously through the graveyard of my dreams.