Let me turn my attention now to the race for the Democratic Party presidential nomination. First, the facts.
There will be 4765 delegates at the Convention, 4051 pledged and 714 unpledged ["superdelegates"]. It will take a total of 2383 delegates to win the nomination. If Clinton wins those 2383 from the primaries and caucuses alone, that will leave 1667 for Bernie [Martin O'Malley has 1]. In short, to win without superdelegates, she must go into the Convention with a pledged delegate lead of 716 over Bernie. At the moment, her lead is 299, more or less. If Bernie continues to do well in the remaining primaries, it actually seems more likely that he will somewhat narrow the gap, although he is virtually certain not to overtake her in pledged delegates.
So, it will come down to the superdelegates.
If we assume that Clinton goes to the Convention having won more votes and more pledged delegates, what could possibly persuade the superdelegates, who are as people inclined to support Clinton anyway, to withdraw their support for her and choose Bernie?
I can only see three possibilities, none of which seems likely.
First, the Republican Convention having taken place the preceding week, if the Republicans nominate someone [i.e., Kasich] who beats Clinton in the polls, that might do it. If they nominate Trump, which seems most probable, the mere fact that Bernie crushes Trump in the polls even more than Clinton will not do it. Clinton currently beats Trump by more than ten points in the polls, which, in a presidential election is a landslide. Sufficient unto the day.
Second, if the e-mail/private server issue heats up, and a top aide to Clinton gets indicted or plea bargains, that could scramble everything, and the availability of a plausible alternative in Bernie might influence enough of the superdelegates to throw the race to Bernie.
Third, that bird might return, this time with a message taped to its leg from God.
I am holding out for number three.