SUPER TUESDAY

The results are in, and the short of it is that in November Clinton will be on the ballot for the Democrats and Trump will be on the ballot for the Republicans unless what passes for the Republican Establishment pulls off a coup and denies Trump the nomination, in which case all bets are off.

How am I doing as a prognosticator?  Pretty well, except for one big mistake.  I neglected to take into consideration that fact that Texas is Ted Cruz's home state.  As you will see in the spreadsheet below, I overestimated Trump's Texas delegate total by SIXTY-SIX!  Whoops.

Because of the delegate totals from caucus states, which I did not include in my forecast, Trump will still win the nomination, I believe.

Here are the details, for you election fans:

State	Delegates	Likely Trump	Actual Trump	Trump Vote %	Cumulative Difference
New Hampshire	20	7	11	35	plus 4
South Carolina	50	36	50	32.5	plus 18
Alabama	47	32	28	43	plus 14
Arkansas	37	14	13	33	plus 9
Georgia	76	40	36	39	plus 5
Massachusetts	39	14	22	49	plus 13
Okalahoma	40	20	12	28	plus 5
Tennessee	55	28	30	34	plus 7
Texas	152	86	20	27	minus 59
Vermont	16	6	6	35	minus 59
Virginia	46	17	17	33	minus 59
Louisiana	44	16
Idaho	29	10
Mississippi	37	14
Michigan	56	21
Puero Rico	20	7
Ohio	63	63
Florida	99	99
Illinois	66	25
Missouri	49	34
North Carolina	72	25
Arizona	58	58
Wisconsin	42	30
New York	92	52
Connecticut	25	14
Delaware	16	16
Maryland	38	29
Pennsylvania	68	14
Rhode Island	16	6
Indiana	54	45
West Virginia	31	18
Oregon	25	9
California	169	145
Montana	24	24
New Jersey	48	48
New Mexico	21	8
South Dakota	26	26
Nebraska	33	33
Washington	41	14
	1940	1203
Caucus States
Iowa	30		7
Nevada	30		14
Alaska	25		11
Colorado	34
Minnesota	35		8
North Dakota	25
Wyoming	26
Kansas	40
Kentucky	42
Maine	20
Hawaii	16
District of Columbia	19
Northern Mariana Islands	6
Virgin Islands	6
Utah	40
	394
Territorial Convention
Guam	6
American Samoa	6
	12
	Trump Total		285		minus 19
	Needed to Win		1237