Yesterday was an historic day. Not since Alexander Butterfield, responding
to an apparently innocent question, revealed the existence of an audio taping
system in the Oval Office have we heard such explosive Congressional
testimony. No self-respecting blogger
could pass this by without extended comment, so here goes.
A word of advice to my younger readers from an elderly
gentleman with a long memory. I know
that some of you will hesitate to acknowledge the importance of anything that
so nakedly benefits Democrats and harms Republicans. Too establishment, you will feel, not
sufficiently infused with the awareness that the whole kit and caboodle of them
are as guilty as sin of much greater transgressions. True, true, but entirely beside the
point. When you reach something approximating
my age, you will look back on this day and tell your grandchildren what it was
like to hear the Director of the FBI testify that he and his organization were
investigating a sitting president and his aides for what can only be construed
as treason. Recall the words of Prince
Hal, become King Henry V, on the eve of the battle of Agincourt:
This
story shall the good man teach his son,
And
Crispin Crispian shall ne'er go by,
From
this day to the ending of the world,
But
we in it shall be rememberèd—
As Comey testified and Representative Adam Schiff
laid out the prima facie evidence
during his questioning, the Republicans, echoing Gertrude Stein [who was
speaking, let us recall, about Oakland, CA], kept saying, there’s no there
there. The circumstantial evidence of
active collusion between Trump and his campaign on the one hand and Russia and
its agents on the other is quite astonishing, when one hears it laid out
quietly and dispassionately.
It is well established and uncontroversial that
the Russians sought to influence the election.
Inasmuch as every great imperial power since the glorious days of Louis
XIV has acted in this manner, up to and notably including the United States,
this is not at all surprising. The news,
of course, is that Trump and his campaign may well have been active participants
in the effort.
Elementary logic tells me that there are four
possibilities:
1. There
was no collusion, merely what Mike Nichols and Elaine May, in an early comedy
skit, described as “proximity but no relating” [they were talking about an
uptight couple in bed, but no matter.]
2. Trump’s
aides – Manafort, Flynn, and the rest – actively colluded with the Russians,
but Trump was ignorant of their efforts and was uninvolved.
3. Both
Trump and his aides actively colluded with the Russians.
4. Trump
colluded with the Russians, but his aides were ignorant of his efforts and were uninvolved.
Quite obviously, I have no knowledge which of these
is the case, but I am, after all, not brain dead, so I have opinions. Numbers 2 and 4 strike me as least likely. Number 4 is unlikely because, unless there
were back channels of which we have had no word, it is implausible
that Trump could have struck a series of explicit deals with the Russians
without any awareness on the part of, or collaboration with, his aides. Number 2 is implausible because Trump so
visibly and loudly and repeatedly proclaimed his affection for Putin, his
disapproval of NATO and the EU, and even called during a campaign speech for
the Russians to hack Clinton’s e-mails and release them.
So either they were all in it together, or else
there was no it at all.
Since I am deeply engaged in the expensive
business of moving, I am unable to offer a Romney bet on the matter [$10,000,
for those of you who do not recall the 2012 Republican primary debates], but I
am willing to wager a dollar that the truth is behind Door Number 3.
All of this is entirely distinct from the question
whether sufficient evidence can be uncovered to justify indictments or, beyond
that, to secure convictions. The FBI
will of course follow the time honored procedure of nailing the small fry and
then offering them immunity to rat on their superiors. But as the outcome of the New Jersey Bridgegate
affair shows, even when it is transparently obvious that the person at the top
is guilty, it may prove impossible to bring him or her to justice.
There is, so far as I can see, one striking fact that
speaks to Trump’s innocence: If he is in
fact in cahoots with the Russians and wishes to keep this fact secret, his
behavior is so mind-numbingly stupid as to seem completely unbelievable in
someone who is presumably at least minimally capable of dressing himself and
using the toilet. Let me offer just one
example among many.
Let us suppose, purely hypothetically, that Trump
took several hundred million dollars [or perhaps less – he may be, in the world
of spycraft, a cheap date] to soften the Republican Party Platform language on
Russia and Ukraine. How would any
ordinarily intelligent person go about this?
Well, the obvious answer is something like this: Make a big fuss about the importance of the
platform; present to the Platform Committee a lengthy document, with much
fanfare, as Donald J Trump’s Plan to
Make American Great Again; hide in an obscure clause of the document the
bought and paid for softened language on Ukraine; and then put on an all court
press to win approval of the platform, making whatever concessions are
necessary on any clause not related to Ukraine.
The odds are great that no one would even notice the Ukraine language.
What did Trump actually do? He completely ignored the Platform Committee,
exhibited no interest whatsoever in the drafting process, and then sent his
minion to demand that one and only one clause be changed, namely the clause on
Ukraine. Nobody engaged in a treasonous conspiracy to do Russia’s bidding in an
American election could possibly be this stupid, right?
But then I remind myself of Karl Marx’s famous
opening words of his brilliant monograph, The
Eighteenth Brumaire of Louis Napoleon:
“Hegel remarks somewhere that all great, world-historical facts and
personages occur, as it were, twice. He has forgotten to add: the first time as
tragedy, the second as farce.”