The House of Representatives will vote Articles of Impeachment, almost certainly before Thanksgiving. How can I be so sure? For three reasons:
First, a majority of the members of the House have announced that they are for impeachment.
Second, the Democrats have stated that if the Administration fails to honor subpoenas, the first of which went out yesterday, they will construe that failure as Obstruction of Congress and add it to the other Articles, thus depriving the Administration of any opportunity to stall.
And Third, because Speaker Pelosi and Chairman Schiff have openly identified Thanksgiving as their target date, something they would not do unless they believed they could meet it.
This will be only the third time a President has been impeached [Nixon resigned before he could be impeached], and it is worth pausing to note the speed with which the ground has shifted beneath Trump's feet. It is also a time to tip one's hat to Nancy Pelosi, who has played this flawlessly, with of course massive help from Trump.
When the Articles of Impeachment land with a thud on Mitch McConnell's desk, they will present an impossible choice to half a dozen Republican Senators up for reelection, including McConnell himself.
Will Trump serve out his full term of office? It is too soon to judge, but if one or several of the White House officials who served as the whistleblower's sources decide to save themselves and come forward, there is no telling.